Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.003004 0.003361 0.003733 0.004151 0.004604 0.005081 0.005621
2024-10-27 0.002432 0.002930 0.003479 0.004128 0.004870 0.005688 0.006654
2024-11-03 0.002057 0.002619 0.003266 0.004058 0.004997 0.006067 0.007370
2024-11-10 0.001806 0.002411 0.003132 0.004045 0.005158 0.006459 0.008084
2024-11-17 0.001593 0.002223 0.002997 0.004005 0.005266 0.006775 0.008697
2024-11-24 0.001476 0.002138 0.002976 0.004094 0.005523 0.007265 0.009524
2024-12-01 0.001299 0.001960 0.002820 0.003995 0.005532 0.007441 0.009959
2024-12-08 0.001182 0.001849 0.002741 0.003987 0.005647 0.007746 0.010554
2024-12-15 0.001136 0.001833 0.002784 0.004138 0.005971 0.008318 0.011497
2024-12-22 0.001064 0.001772 0.002761 0.004194 0.006166 0.008726 0.012234
2024-12-29 0.001019 0.001746 0.002782 0.004310 0.006441 0.009242 0.013119
2025-01-05 0.000979 0.001725 0.002808 0.004430 0.006723 0.009769 0.014029
2025-01-12 0.000869 0.001589 0.002663 0.004306 0.006669 0.009854 0.014364
2025-01-19 0.000795 0.001505 0.002589 0.004278 0.006747 0.010117 0.014942
2025-01-26 0.000718 0.001409 0.002490 0.004207 0.006757 0.010283 0.015389
2025-02-02 0.000661 0.001342 0.002432 0.004193 0.006846 0.010559 0.015986
2025-02-09 0.000604 0.001270 0.002359 0.004152 0.006892 0.010771 0.016499
2025-02-16 0.000580 0.001252 0.002373 0.004244 0.007136 0.011267 0.017413
2025-02-23 0.000519 0.001165 0.002267 0.004142 0.007084 0.011338 0.017728
2025-03-02 0.000482 0.001115 0.002221 0.004133 0.007171 0.011608 0.018329
2025-03-09 0.000475 0.001125 0.002277 0.004289 0.007514 0.012255 0.019479
2025-03-16 0.000452 0.001102 0.002273 0.004347 0.007705 0.012684 0.020320
2025-03-23 0.000441 0.001100 0.002306 0.004466 0.007995 0.013261 0.021383